Fewer Atlanta Homeowners Underwater -from bizjournals.com

The U.S. negative equity rate is dropping, but 43.1 percent of Atlanta homeowners with a mortgage are still effectively underwater, according to the first quarter Zillow Negative Equity Report.

Seattle-based Zillow Inc. (NASDAQ: Z) reported Atlanta’s negative equity rate dropped to 23.2 percent in the first quarter from 26.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014. This was the biggest quarter over quarter improvement in negative equity of the 35 metros included in the analysis. A year ago, the rate was 33.6 percent.

At the end of the first quarter, the cumulative amount of negative equity in the metro area is $15.858 billion.

Spring and summer are the busiest buying and selling seasons, and this year, there is high demand for homes in the bottom third of the market. However, a disproportionate number of those homeowners are simply stuck in their homes and can’t afford to sell to buyers looking for homes in their price range.

The rate of underwater homeowners is much higher among the homes with the least value. In Atlanta, 46. percent of homes in the bottom third are in negative equity, compared with 20.2 percent in the middle third, and 10.1 percent in the top third.

“It’s great news that the level of negative equity is falling, but what really worries me is the depth of negative equity. Millions of Americans are so far underwater, it’s likely they may not re-gain equity for up to a decade or more at these rates,” Zillow Chief Economist Dr. Stan Humphries said in a statement. “And because negative equity is concentrated so heavily at the lower end, it throws a real wrench in the traditional housing market conveyor belt. Potential first-time buyers have difficulty finding affordable homes for sale because those homes are stuck in negative equity. And owners of those homes can’t move up the chain because they’re stuck underwater in the entry-level home they bought years ago. The logjam at the bottom is having ripple effects throughout the market, and as home value growth slows, it will be years before it gets cleared up. In the meantime, we’ll be left with volatile prices, limited inventory, tepid demand, elevated foreclosures and a whole lot of frustration.”

Among the 35 largest housing markets, Las Vegas, Chicago and Atlanta had the highest rates of homeowners in negative equity.

Banks annihilating "zombie foreclosures" - from CNBC

They are a blight on neighborhoods and bank balance sheets: homes in the foreclosure process, some in limbo for several years, their former owners gone but the home still not repossessed by the bank. They were dubbed "zombies" because their empty state was seen as a danger to both the neighborhood and the overall health of the housing market. 

Banks had let these homes sit because they were of so little value and because of endless foreclosure processing issues. Most are in disrepair, some occupied by squatters or drug dealers. But now, things are changing. The legal process has been largely streamlined, and as home prices rise nationwide, so too do the values of these zombie homes; banks are now pushing them through the foreclosure process and out to auction far more quickly. 

Marcelo Piotti | Getty Images

There are now about 127,000 zombie foreclosures, down 10 percent from a year ago, according to RealtyTrac, a foreclosure listing and analytics company. That means that one in five homes that are in the foreclosure process, that is the legal process has started but the bank has not yet repossessed the home, are vacant. 

Read MoreWeekly mortgage applications jump as rates surge

Despite the overall drop, zombie foreclosures are rising in some of the highest-priced markets, such as Los Angeles, New York, Boston and Houston. That is because banks are moving the process more quickly in order to take advantage of rising home prices; so former owners are finally moving out. When the house is vacant, it becomes a zombie. 

"They've been able to stay in that home and maybe fight foreclosure for three, four, five years, and now finally the bank is coming back with all their ducks in a row, the proper documentation, and the homeowner is seeing the writing on the wall that I'm going to have to leave and move on with my life," said RealtyTrac Vice President Daren Blomquist. 

In just the last two months, banks have really ramped up on repossessing homes. These so-called REOs (bank repossessions) are now at a 17-month high. This, as the value of these former zombies rises amid strong housing demand and tight housing supply. 

"The average price of a zombie foreclosure nationwide was $195,000, so we're not talking about just $20,000 or $30,000 properties here," added Blomquist. 

That is good news to neighbors, like Ariel Seeley, who recently moved into a transitional Washington, D.C., neighborhood with her young family.

Stephanie Dhue | CNBC

The end unit is a foreclosed, vacant home in Washington, DC's Petworth neighborhood. RealtyTrac estimates its value at $600,117.

"For us as neighbors, we'd love to have people move in and occupy the houses," Seeley said. "It makes it seem a little unsafe or dreary when you're walking by and you see vacant signs, and you don't know what's going on with the houses." 

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The phenomenon, however, like all real estate, is very local. While some areas are seeing the zombies annihilated—moved to auction and final sale—quickly, others are not. 

"In Chicago, you've got a real variation within the city among markets. You see stronger neighborhoods where prices have gone up steadily, and those areas are not where the zombie foreclosures are located," said Geoff Smith, executive director of the Institute for Housing Studies at DePaul University. "There are neighborhoods that continue to struggle, and those price levels are still well below where they were at the peak or even in 2000." 

Banks are honing in on foreclosures in stronger local markets, but there is a cost to completing a foreclosure and a cost to selling the property, and in some areas there is not necessarily a market that would bear these costs. In those cases, the vacant homes sit longer and continue to be a blight on the neighborhood. 

—CNBC producer Stephanie Dhue contributed to this report.

Buyers Scramble to Buy Homes as Interest Rates Increase - from CNBC

The interest rate sharp jump to the highest level this year caused a sudden surge in mortgage applications. While that may seem counter-intuitive, there's a reason: fear that rates will move even higher.  

Total mortgage application volume jumped 8.4 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis last week from the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. The previous week included an adjustment for the Memorial Day holiday.

"Mortgage application volume rebounded strongly … indicating that the holiday had a larger impact on business activity than originally assumed," said Mike Fratantoni, the association's chief economist.

Refinance volume increased 7 percent on the week, and applications to purchase a home jumped 10 percent, both seasonally adjusted. Purchase volume is now 15 percent higher than the same week one year ago, but refinance volume is off nearly 5 percent. The weekly move higher in refinances was likely due to the holiday skewing the trend. Refinances are still lower than they were two weeks ago. This all comes as rates continue to climb.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($417,000 or less) increased to 4.17 percent, its highest level since November, from 4.02 percent, with points increasing to 0.38 from 0.33 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio loans, according to the association. 

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While higher rates make home buying more expensive, sharp moves higher often have the immediate effect of getting potential buyers off the fence, before chilling the overall market in the longer term. That is especially true now, in light of rising bond yields and the Federal Reserve's expected interest-rate hike.

"These increases really help the home-buying market. It really gets buyers to really understand that 'wait a minute, rates are at an all-time low, let's react now, let's react before they go higher,'" said Matt Weaver of Florida-based PMAC Lending.

Weaver said last week that he had a rush of clients calling in to lock-in rates. That was probably smart, as rates continued their move higher in yet another bond market sell-off. Both the spike in foreign bond yields as well as strong U.S. economic data point to an upward trajectory for interest rates, at least in the short term.

While the surge in purchase applications would seem to be welcome news, especially as the usually busy spring market draws to a close, some analysts warn the picture is not as rosy as it looks. 

"We think the excitement is misplaced," analysts at Goldman Sachs said in a note to investors Tuesday. "This index [mortgage bankers' purchase application index] has been largely range-bound since 2010. Even after the recent increases, it is still at levels comparable to 1996 when the size of the population and housing stock were 15 percent smaller." 

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June 16th Update!

Today, the Senate passed an extension to the tax credit. However, the credit provision is part of a larger jobs and tax package that both chambers must still vote on before it becomes law. This extension, if passed, would allow only those individuals who already have signed contracts to complete the transaction after June 30th. More information will be passed along as Congress works on this extension.


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WASHINGTON — The Senate on Wednesday approved a plan to give home buyers an extra three months to finish qualifying for federal tax incentives that boosted home sales this spring. The move by Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid would give buyers until Sept. 30 to complete their purchases and qualify for tax credits of up to $8,000. Under the current terms, buyers had until April 30 to get a signed sales contract and until June 30 to complete the sale. The proposal, approved by a 60-37 vote, would only allow people who already have signed contracts to finish at the later date. About 180,000 homebuyers who already signed purchase agreements would otherwise miss the deadline.

Reid, D-Nev., added the proposal to a bill extending jobless benefits through the end of November. Nevada has the nation's highest foreclosure rate, and Reid is facing a tough re-election campaign. The Realtors group has been pushing hard in Congress for the extension. Mortgage lenders, the trade group says, have been swamped with borrowers trying to get approved by the end of the month. Many potential borrowers are unlikely to make the deadline. "If Congress fails to act promptly, then prospective homebuyers might not get the benefit of the homebuyer tax credit, even though they have completed contracts," the Realtors said in a letter to lawmakers.

First-time buyers were eligible for a tax credit of up to $8,000. Current owners who bought and moved into another home could qualify for a credit of up to $6,500. The $140 million cost of the measure would be financed by denying businesses the ability to deduct from their taxes punitive damages paid when losing lawsuits or judgments.

The information above was provided by James A Williamson of Fairfield Mortgage.

May 26th Update!

Mortgage Rates Plummet


Just when everyone seems to be predicting that mortgage rates will rise, out of the blue they have dropped to the low point of the year! This remarkable development has occurred for the following three reasons:

1. Global economic concerns. The trouble in Europe continues to brew and threatens to spread as European countries are forced to reduce government spending. In addition, Chinese officials are now focused on tightening monetary policy to reduce inflation. Also, tensions between North Korea and South Korea continue to build. Investors have reacted to these crises by shifting money to relatively safer assets such as bonds and U.S. mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and this has had the effect of pushing mortgage rates lower.

2. Domestic economic uncertainty. In the U.S., it's not clear to what degree a newly proposed financial regulation bill will cause banks to reduce lending and lead to slower economic growth. In response to periods of uncertainty such as this, investors seek to reduce risk by moving to safer assets which, again, has led to lower rates.

3. Tame inflation. April Core CPI inflation fell to the lowest level in 44 years!! Low inflation always equates to low rates.


Mostly Positive Economic Data

On the housing front, recent news has been mostly positive. March Pending Home Sales increased 5.3% from February and were 21% higher than one year ago at this time. April Housing Starts increased above the consensus forecast to the highest level since October 2008. In addition, the May NAHB Homebuilder confidence index rose to the highest level since August 2007. Although the number of builder permits declined moderately, builders surveyed remained optimistic about sales over the next six months even as the home buyer tax credit expired.

More good news to report as retail sales rose for 7th straight month and oil prices fell to $65 per barrel reaching the lowest level since July 2009. The correlation between oil prices and mortgage rates is staggering!

On the jobs front, the weekly jobless claims unexpectedly jumped well above the consensus forecast and this figure will be closely watched over the next few weeks.

Flood Insurance Program Set to Expire

The National Flood Insurance Program is set to expire on May 31st. By law, a lender has to check to see if a property is in a flood zone before a mortgage can close. If the flood cert comes back negative (as most in Atlanta area do), there isn't an issue. However, if it comes back positive, the appropriate flood insurance coverage must be obtained prior to closing. If Congress does not address this issue and extend the program this week (they are not in session next week), the program will expire for the third time this year! This means that any loan closings scheduled that do not have the required flood insurance arranged by Friday will have to be delayed. Just what we need in this market! Congress has allowed this issue to linger for months and one existing proposal only would extend the program through Dec 31. Our elected officials need to figure this one out and quick or there are going to be some serious repercussions to anyone wanting to buy a house who needs flood insurance.


Rate Update

Mortgage rates have reached the lowest point since early December of 2009!

Looking Ahead

The last half of this week will be busy with New Home Sales and Durable Orders figures being released today. Also, a revised figure for first quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will be released tomorrow and the Chicago PMI Manufacturing Index and Personal Income on Friday. Consumer Sentiment and Consumer Confidence round out the busy week.

All information above was provied by James A Williamson of Fairfield Mortgage